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Illustration: Xia Qing/GT
The yen has weakened in recent days, edging closer to the psychologically important 160 level against the US dollar. The decline comes despite the widely watched move by Washington to join Tokyo in supporting the currency. Less than two weeks after the US-Japan intervention, the yen has given up roughly half of its gains, raising fresh questions over the effectiveness of coordinated efforts to stabilize the exchange rate.
Japan and the US had previously confirmed coordinated foreign exchange intervention to prop up the yen after the currency tumbled to a nearly 40-year low. At the time, some observers saw the move as potentially stabilizing the yen in the short term, although its longer-term impact remained uncertain.
However, the subsequent market reaction suggests that even the short-term effect may have been limited. After strengthening to about 155 per dollar in the days following the intervention from above 163, the yen had slipped back above 159 by Wednesday, less than two weeks later.
Questions have emerged over whether further support for the yen may soon be needed, and whether Washington would consider stepping in again. The previous intervention was seen by some observers as a test of market confidence: the unusual coordinated move had the potential to influence market expectations and discourage bets against the yen. But if market expectations remain largely unchanged, repeated interventions could deliver diminishing returns. The US may face a difficult trade-off. Another intervention could require greater resources and come at a higher cost, while refraining from further action could raise questions over the lasting impact of the previous effort.
Market commentary has added to the uncertainty. Axios published a report headlined "Yen's weakness shows market isn't done pushing," while some reports suggested that the impact of the US-Japan intervention was beginning to fade. Such narratives could weigh on sentiment toward the yen and reinforce market expectations that the currency's weakness may persist.
Washington's involvement in supporting the yen may reflect broader economic and policy considerations. These could include avoiding a scenario in which Japan sells US Treasury holdings to support the currency, as well as concerns that a weaker yen could give Japanese exporters a greater competitive advantage. These possible considerations suggest that the intervention alone does not fully address the underlying forces behind the yen's weakness. This may help explain why the market has so far been reluctant to view the move as a turning point for the currency.
Washington's decision to join the intervention may have reflected concerns, as some observers suggest, that the yen's prolonged weakness had begun to affect US interests. If markets remain unconvinced by the US-Japan intervention, one possible outcome is that Washington could push Japan to take more costly measures to support the yen. Such a scenario could instead create some strain between Washington and Tokyo.
Beyond short-term market dynamics, the yen's weakness also reflects deeper challenges facing the Japanese economy, making a sustained reversal difficult. The currency's prolonged weakness has been influenced by the interest rate gap between Japan and the US, while also reflecting longer-term concerns over the diminishing returns of Japan's traditional growth model.
This leaves Japan facing a delicate policy balance between supporting growth and stabilizing the currency. While lower interest rates could help boost economic activity, continued weakness in the yen may strengthen calls for Japan's central bank to consider further rate increases to narrow the interest rate gap with the US.
Japan's structural challenges mean that a sustained appreciation of the yen will not be easy to achieve. The question of whether to pursue stronger measures, even at the cost of some economic growth, has become more complicated as the US takes a role in the issue. Japan may face greater pressure to support the currency, even though doing so would be difficult and could carry broader economic costs.
The author is a reporter with the Global Times. [email protected]

。新加坡中央禁毒局于8月23日宣布，该局在全岛范围内进行了为期12天的禁毒行动，成功收缴了年内最大规模的海洛因。行动期间，一名67岁男子因携带9.5千克海洛因被捕，警方还查获了多种毒品及大量现金。据估算，这些毒品总价值高达140万新元。1. 案件概述新加坡中央禁毒局于8月23日宣布，在历时12天的全岛范围禁毒行动中，成功收缴了今年迄今为止最大规模的海洛因，总重量达到显著数量。二零二四年八月十四日，一名67岁男子被检获毒品，包括9.5公斤海洛因及2.6公斤冰毒。来源：CNA行动的高潮出现在8月14日，一名67岁的新加坡男子因携带9.5千克海洛因被捕。警方在随后的搜查中，还发现了包括2.6千克冰毒、4，182片艾瑞敏-5、171克甲基苯甲胺、18克摇头丸、5瓶美沙酮以及超过25，000新元现金在内的多种毒品和非法财物。据新加坡国家银行估算，这些毒品的总价值高达140万新元。

B | 此次禁毒行动覆盖了多个地区，自8月12日启动以来，CNB共逮捕了113名涉嫌毒品犯罪的嫌疑人。除了上述提到的海洛因和冰毒外，还检获了约620克大麻等其他毒品，总价值约154万新元。2. 青少年涉毒应当引起重视值得注意的是，在被捕的嫌疑人中，年龄最小的竟是一名15岁的新加坡男孩。他因涉嫌吸毒于8月19日被捕，当时被发现携带“少量”冰毒。随后，另一名同样涉嫌贩毒的15岁新加坡男孩也在调查中落网。两名少年均为在校学生，这一情况引起了社会各界的广泛关注。来源：CNA中央禁毒局执法主任助理副专员萨赫利利马特对此表示：“这次行动再次提醒我们，不能忽视青少年吸毒问题的严重性。我们必须持续加强对青少年的毒品预防教育，让他们充分了解毒品的危害和后果。”他还强调，家长在预防毒品教育中扮演着至关重要的角色，应该积极引导孩子树立正确的价值观和人生观，避免他们误入歧途。目前，所有被捕的嫌疑人正在接受进一步调查。中央禁毒局表示，将继续加大禁毒力度，严厉打击各类毒品犯罪活动，维护社会的和谐稳定与人民的身体健康。参考资料：1. 、Man, 67, caught with 9.5kg of heroin in Singapore's largest single haul so far in 2024, CNA。